Kamala Harris' Chance of Winning if She Wins PA: 93.1%
Donald Trump's Chance of Winning if He Wins PA: 93.8%
Team — did you see this?!
Nate Silver, election forecasting extraordinaire, published his latest analysis on the 2024 election, showing that Pennsylvania has a 38% chance of deciding the election.
Put another way, both Silver and ABC's FiveThirtyEight say there's a more than 90% chance that the winner in PA wins the whole election. With Cook Political Report moving us to a Toss Up and a new poll showing Bob Casey BEHIND for the first time, we know this election will be close.
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The data proves what we know to be true: The road to control of the White House and the Senate runs right through our Commonwealth.
That's why your support is so critical in the final sprint of this election. Please, join us and help re-elect Bob Casey by making a contribution today.
Thanks,
Team Casey
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Bob Casey for Senate
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